Built on Real Experience
We started pyrasolivio because we kept seeing the same problem: businesses making critical decisions based on incomplete pictures of what might happen next.
Why We Exist
Back in 2019, I watched a client lose significant investment because their financial projections missed three key market scenarios. That moment changed everything for us.
We realized that most businesses weren't lacking good ideas or hard work — they were missing the tools to see around corners. That's what scenario modeling really does: it helps you prepare for different versions of tomorrow.
Today, we work with Australian businesses who need to make complex financial decisions with confidence, not guesswork.
How We Actually Work
Start With Your Reality
We dig into your actual financial data and business constraints. No theoretical frameworks — just what's happening in your specific situation right now.
Map Possible Futures
We build multiple scenarios based on different market conditions, regulatory changes, or internal decisions you might face. Each one shows real financial impacts.
Stress-Test Everything
Every model gets pushed to extremes. What happens if costs spike 40%? If revenue drops for six months? We find the breaking points before they find you.
Create Action Plans
You get clear triggers for each scenario — specific metrics that signal when to pivot, invest, or pull back. No guessing about when to act.
Meet the Person Behind the Models
Caspian Nightingale
Founder & Lead Strategist
I spent twelve years in corporate finance watching executives make million-dollar decisions based on single-point forecasts. The optimistic ones, usually.
After seeing too many "sure thing" projects crash into unexpected market shifts, I started building scenario models on the side. Word spread quickly when my predictions about the 2020 supply chain disruptions proved accurate.
Now I work full-time helping Australian businesses prepare for uncertainty instead of pretending it doesn't exist. It's more honest, and frankly, more effective than traditional planning approaches.
What Drives Our Work
Reality Over Theory
We work with your actual numbers and constraints, not textbook examples. Every model reflects your specific business context.
Practical Results
You get actionable insights, not academic reports. Clear decision points and specific financial impacts you can use immediately.
Honest Assessment
We show you both opportunities and risks without sugar-coating. Better to see problems coming than be surprised by them.
Ready to See Around Corners?
If you're making important financial decisions without understanding different scenarios, we should talk. Most of our clients wish they'd started scenario planning years earlier.
Start the Conversation